Make The Stock Market Spit Out Money Like A Broken ATM Machine!
August 26, 2009 by Lance Jepsen
Filed under Stock Market
In the stock market, the opening price is not as important as the closing price. The closing price is king. Knowing that the closing price is more important than the opening price will give you a major advantage over most stock market traders. You are about to learn how to pull crazy profits out of the stock market from this simple yet profound truth.
Let us just dive right into this.
The closing price reflects the final consensus of value for the day. This is the price most people look at when they get off work or when they print their daily charts at the end of the day. It is especially important in the futures markets, because the settlement of trading accounts depends on it.
Institutional and professional traders will trade throughout the day. Their behavior is as follows. At the opening, they take advantage of opening prices by selling high openings and buying low openings. They then close out of those positions as the trading day goes on. What they do day in and day out is to trade against market extremes, also called fading. They are betting on a return to normalcy in any given market. When a stock price reaches a new high and then buy side volume falls, they sell and push the market down. When a stock price reaches a new low and then sell side volume falls, they buy and push the market up.
Amateur traders like you and I behave very differently. Amateurs like us usually trade at market open and then drop off as the day progresses. Most amateurs have to go to work and so they trade on the west coast at market open before work. They don’t check the trade again until after work when they get home. Even traders on the east coast will sneak in a buy or sell at market open while at work and then not check their trading account again until the end of the day. At market close, the participants who are still trading are mostly professional traders.
Knowing this is a huge advantage! Why? Because it means that closing prices reflect the opinions of professionals. Look at any chart, and you will see how often the opening and closing ticks are at the opposite ends of a price bar. This is because amateurs and professionals tend to be on the opposite sides of trades. You want to trade with the professionals, not against them.
If a stock opens and runs up near its day’s high at market open, then falls the rest of the day and closes near its day’s low at market close, you want to close out your position if you are long. This is your first clue that the stock has run up enough to get the attention of professional traders who are fading against your position.
