Short Selling Without Knowing Short Interest Ratios Can Be Dangerous!
March 13, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under Stock Trading
Everyone knows that when the stock prices goes up this is the best time to invest and make money. But can you make money when the stock prices go down. Well, you can with short selling. Many people have difficulty understanding short selling. So what is short selling. In essence, when you expect the price of a certain stock to go down, you borrow it from your brokers and sell it in the market. Later on you buy it back and return the stock to your broker. Since the stock price was lower when you bought it back as compared to when you sold it, you made a capital gain. This is in nutshell what is short selling.
Short selling works if the price continues to fall. If the price does not fall or retraces after sometime, you can make a hefty loss on your short position. The loans that are taken in order to go short have to be repaid! If the lender asks them or the price goes up, the trader has to buy back shares in order to make the repayment. Now, the harder it becomes to get the right number of shares in the market, the more desperate the trader will become and the higher the prices can go.
Short selling in stocks is done by investors with the expectation of a making a capital gain when they expect that stock price to go down in the near future. Short selling is also done by the fund managers to hedge their stock portfolios. Now, in other markets like the currencies, futures or the options market, you don’t have to borrow the security in order to go short. You can straight away go short by selling that security or currency in the market.
There is something very important that you need to keep an eye on when you go short selling. It is known as Short Interest Ratios. This will help you monitor the rate of short selling in the market. If the rate is too high, it means that too many investors are taking short positions and you need to avoid it. New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and NASDAQ, both report the short interest in stocks listed on them,however, this is done on a monthly basis as brokers need sometime to collect the data of shares that they have lended to their clients for shorting.
Now this number is known as the Short Interest Ratio. Short Interest Ratio is a very important number for short sellers as it can give important clues about the investor expectation to the short sellers.
So what is the Short Interest Ratio? Short Interest Ratio is the number of shares of a particular stock that has been shorted in the market. It also reports the percentage change in the short positions from the previous month. Plus the average daily volume for that stock in the same month and also the number of days of trading at the average volume that it would require the market to cover the short positions in that stock.
The problem with Short Interest Ratio is that it is not calculated frequently. It is calculated on monthly basis. So, the trader cannot use it to gauge the short positions in the market on a daily or weekly basis. However, it can give you the general trend in the market. A high short interest ratio should make you nervous if you have taken a short position in that stock as most of the investors who are short will soon become desperate to dump that stock in the market and cover their short positions.
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done masters from Harvard University. Read this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading FREE Report. Turn $200 into $100K in just 3 months with this Penny Stock Trading FREE Report.
Options Trading Strategy, How To Get It Right
March 11, 2010 by Trevor Weir
Filed under Stock Market
Making money on the trading of options, shares, bonds and other finance products has been compared as playing a game. It is not for nothing that it is called an adult’s Play Station. Trading on the market is fun and addictive. The only problem is that you can lose money, which kind of kills the fun. That is where an options trading strategy that worked would come in handy. As you might have guessed this is what this article is all about.
Playing with the stock market can be very risky. Too many people have jumped into this dangerous business finding too late that they did not know what they were getting involved in. Overnight a stock that seemed solid can melt warm butter in your hands. A strong economy can lose its bottom due to a terrorist attack. Amateur traders are cannon fodder for changing trends and a volatile market.
The best traders can be caught by surprise by a change in the market nobody expected. The strongest economy can fall like a ton of bricks due to a natural or manmade disaster. Who pays the price of these fluctuations in the market? You guessed amateur traders that did not do their homework. The good traders just smile and continue making money whether the market is doing good or bad.
This does not have to be the case. Trading with stocks and options can be worked as a business, without having to gamble or hope for the best. When you understand how the market works, the function of options and how to use them wisely to manage risk everything starts to make sense.
All of this could have been avoided if you had purchased a selling option, also called a put call, for the same stock. You would not have become an overnight millionaire but at least you would have covered your losses when the stocks of your company dropped.
Only a few traders, the best of the best, make money consistently no matter what mood the market is in. Learning from them is the way to go if you want to succeed and good options trading strategy is your ticket. The problem is where to find a reliable source for such valuable information. The second issue is will you be willing to invest your hard earned money in a great opportunity if you see one.
A great option is to talk to a successful trader and ask him all his secrets, strategies and techniques. Unfortunately most successful traders are too busy making money or spending it to put aside the time. That is why you should look into this full options trading strategy course.
That is why these videos on offer, are a great deal. Listen as many times as you need to the quality information a professional trader has prepared for you. Over twenty years condensed in a simple but very informative course. Why has he spent hours and house spelling out the options trading strategy that really makes money? To make money of course and because he wants to see you succeed just as he has. You see, in Options Trading others making money is not a problem, everyone can make a profit.
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A Shockingly Simple Momentum Indicator For Stock Trading
March 9, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under News
Following a trend is great. But if the trend is moving quickly, you want to know that so that you can get ahead of it. If the rate of change of the trend is going up, rising prices are going to follow quickly.
Now first what is a momentum? You must have read about the momentum in high school physics.Momentum was the velocity multiplied by the mass of the object. Velocity was the rate of change. So when we talk of momentum in trading, we are talking of the rate of change of any security prices. Now. a simple way to calculate the momentum of any security price is to divide the closing price today by the closing price ten days back and then multiply it by 100!
This gives you the momentum indicator. If the prices didn’t go anywhere momentum indicator will be 100. If the prices went up, the momentum indicator will be greater than 100 and the prices went down, the momentum indicator will be less than 100. Now, a trend is expected to continue if the momentum indicator is greater than 100.
This momentum indicator tells you what is most likely to happen in the future not what happened in the past. So it is a leading indicator. You must have heard about momentum investing or you can even call it momentum trading. In momentum investing , you buy a security at a high price and sell it even at a more higher price unlike ordinary investing where you buy low and sell high. The trick is to know that the price will continue to rise when you do momentum investing. How do you know that the security prices will continue to rise in the future? By looking at the business fundamentals like the sales or profits, if you find them to be rising and accelerating at the same time the security price is rising,there is momentum behind this move!
Now, investors can also use momentum in their investing decisions. Momentum investors are looking for securities that are rising in prices especially if accompanies by acceleration in the underlying growth. The knock on momentum investing is that instead of buying low and selling high, your goal is to buy high and sell even higher.
So when you are doing momentum investing, you are looking for a security or a stock that has a potential to move big. How long this big move might take to materialize? Well, the expectation is for the big move to happen in a few weeks to a few months. Just like in ordinary physics, when a ball is set in motion, it will continue moving unless stopped. This is what the Newton’s First Law says. You can expect a security price to keep on rising as long as something drastic doesn’t happen to stop that rise. So what can be that something drastic? It can be a sudden breaking news about the misdoings of the management that have not been known to the public before. I am just giving you one example. There can be more. So before you do your momentum investing, it is always better to do some fundamental research on the company. Remember the Dot Com Bubble that burst and hurt many people a decade back. Lot of people were doing momentum investing without doing fundamental research on the stocks that they were investing in. So you need to do some fundamental research as well to ascertain that the rise in prices of a stock are sustainable over the long haul or not.
There are many way to do momentum investing. One is the price momentum that we have talked above. The other can be Earning Momentum. If you are a long haul investor who keeps an eye on the financial statements of different companies and you find that the quaterly earnings are going up steadily from one quater to another. What this means is that the stock price will also accelerate and follow suit.
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Get this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading Report plus the shocking Profit Button Report that applies no matter what you trade- stocks, forex, futures or options FREE. Read the story of Richard Samuels, a post office mailman with a head injury and how he made a fortune with these Neutrino Forex Signals.
Know These Short Selling Shocking Facts
March 8, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under News
Short selling is one of the favorite day trading strategies employed by many day traders. Many companies hate short sellers as they believe that short sellers were responsible in the fall of their stock prices. Nothing can be far from the truth. Short selling is just like anyother market mechanism that provides liquidity and better price discovery. Short selling can never destroy a company if its’ fundamentals are strong. Many stock brokers now let you short stocks with just the click of a mouse. When you sell stocks from your online brokerage account, the message asks you whether you are selling your own shares or short selling. You just need to click once on short selling and the rest is taken care of by the broker. These shares are a loan to you by the broker that you will have to return at a later date!
Now, you cannot always short a stock instantly. Most of the investors work on rumors. In some cases,a stock gets so much shorted that there are no more shares of that stock left for you or your broker to borrow anymore. In that case, you simple will have to cross your fingers and see how the other short sellers do on that stock while you search for another stock to short!
Now, shorting is one of the favorite strategies employed by day traders. A day trader may short stock on the mundane reason like its price had been going up for three days and it’s time to come down! Day traders are not fundamental traders. Day traders are simply interested in the daily volatility in the stock. Most even don’t do any financial or fundamental analysis of the companies whose stocks they are trading. Almost all are technicians or what you call technical analysis experts.
Now, you cannot straight away short a stock as there are mechanisms in place employed by msot of the stock exchanges that don’t want a massive shorting attack on a stock. There is the famous Uptick Rule that has been put in place to prevent that from happening. What the Uptick Rule means is that you cannot short a stock unless it moves up on the last trade. This rule has been placed to prevent a stock from being driven down to almost zero by short sellers. In simple words, once the stock starts to move down, you cannot short it. You will have to wait for its price to move up on the last trade, before your short selling order can be executed by the broker.
Now you have to be careful when shorting a stock as certain risks are involved. In theory, there is no limit on how high a stock price can go high. So when betting on something going wrong, if you yourself go wrong, the potential loss in case of a stock price going up can be immense.
There is something known as Short Squeeze. A short squeeze happens when the stock of the company that you have shorted has some good news that drives the stock prices high. Now if this happens, many short sellers might lose money and even get margin calls. When they get desperate to buy back the stock, its prices go even higher hurting them more.
As said before, companies, investors and many brokers hate short sellers. They think that short sellers had intentionally driven down the stock prices. So sometimes, they will spread rumors of good news to create a momentary short squeeze. Sometimes, a campaign will be started by the owners of a particular stock instructing their brokers not to loan out their stocks to short sellers. So if you have already shorted that stock, you might get a call from your broker to return that stock immediately. In such a case, you will have to immediately return the stock even if it doesn’t make any sense to you!
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Turn $200 into $100K in just 3 months with this Penny Stock Trading FREE Report!Read this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading FREE Report plus the shocking Profit Button Report that applies no matter what you trade-stocks,forex, futures or options!
Bullish Necklines, the Bearish Meeting Lines and the bearish Piercing Line Candlestick Patterns
March 6, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under News
Trend trading is one of the most profitable trading strategies. You must have heard the oft repeated quote that Trend is your friend. But trend can only be your friend if you know how it is going to behave in the future. If you don’t know that the trend is going to reverse soon, you are going to end up with a heavy loss. Candlestick charting is one of the ways to predict the future of a trend whether it is going to reverse itself in the near future or continue for sometime. Bullish Necklines is a candlestick pattern that can help you know whether the trend is continuing or not. It is a trend confirmation pattern. There are types of Necklines Patterns; one is the In Neck and the other is the Out Neck Pattern.
The candle formed on the setup day should be a long bullish candle that shows a lot of buying. On the signal day a bearish candle either long or short is formed with its closing price very near the close of the setup day.
Now,there can be two types of Neckline Patterns depending on the closing prices on the signal and the setup days. If the closing price on the signal day is almost near the closing price on the setup day, it is an On Neck Pattern. In case, if the closing price on the first day is little lower than the closing price on the signal day, it is a In Neck Pattern.
You might be thinking that this is not much of a difference. Well, this is true but nevertheless, you should be aware of this slight difference between the In Neck and the On Neck Patterns. Both these patterns are telling the same thing that the uptrend is going to continue in the near future. So even if you are not able to differentiate between the In Neck and the On Neck, don’t worry much. You must at least be able to identify that a Neckline Pattern has been formed.
Now, let’s talk about a trend reversal candlestick pattern; The Bearish Meeting Line. On the first day or what you call the setup day, you will find a long bullish candle.What this means is that heavy buying took place throughout the day. On the second day or what you call the signal day, you will find a gap opening. This gap entices the sellers to start selling that continues throughout the day. This will result in a long bearish candle on the second or what you call the signal day. This long bearish candle should have a close very near the open of the low of the day as well as the close should be very near to the close on the first or what you call the setup day. This is a Bearish Meeting Line Trend Reversal Pattern. What is means is that the trend is about to reverse itself soon!
In case of the bearish piercing line candlestick pattern, the setup day is bullish with long bullish candle. The signal day is bearish with an opening higher than the setup days high. What this means is that on the signal day sellers came rushing in, pushing prices down through the setup days opening price and below its midpoint.
This pattern usually occurs in the last stages of an uptrend and when it happens, it means that the trend is about to reverse itself. When this Bearish Piercing Line Candlestick Pattern is formed, it means that the price action has lost it’s momentum.
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Master Candlestick Charting with this 82 page PDF FREE Candlestick Guide! Read the Story of Richard Samuels, a post office mailman with a head injury and how he made a fortune with these Neutrino Forex Signals!
How to Easily Buy Stocks Online in 2010
March 4, 2010 by Simon Brody
Filed under News
Right now in 2010, most people who open a stock account for the first time will do it online. This is a departure from how to open a stock account in years past where you had to physically go in to a broker’s office and sign up. When you were sitting in front of the broker, he would ask you all sorts of questions like what your investment goals were and what investing time horizon you had.
That made it a bother and an inconvenience to open an account and certainly kept a number of potential investors from ever making the attempt. Today, however, anyone can open an account online right from their home and transfer funds into that account easily and quickly. Papers to sign will be mailed right to the investor’s house. This raises the possibility that some people will invest in stocks when they shouldn’t, just because it is so easy to do so.
Learning how to buy stocks is something that can be intimidating at first but very easy once you learn the basics. How to buy your first stocks might initially seem scary because of all the terminology and if you are not familiar with any of it, you might never get past the first step. Now that you can open up an account online and buy stocks online though, there really is no embarrassment factor because you never have to deal with a real person.
You can learn how to do everything by just reading things online and that should be enough to get you started. However, if you really want to know what you are doing, you should probably go into a stockbroker’s office and ask for a quick tutorial on the stock market and how to buy and sell stocks.
With the effortlessness of buying stocks online by just clicking on a few buttons, it’s as easy as entering a lottery. But even though it is so easy it almost seems like betting on a number, investing is a serious business and is important for your future and for the continued prosperity of our country. Because of the ease today of making stock trades online, and the resulting increase in day trading, numerous unfortunate speculators have been brought to financial ruin, leading to the speculation that stock trading has simply become too easy for the unwary individual.
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What Are Trend Following Indicators?
February 26, 2010 by Gery Lermann
Filed under Stock Trading
By using trend following indicators it’s a way to track how to trade stocks. A strategy that will use how those stocks have done in the past on the market, and how they should do in the future as well.
With this method you will watch the way that the market goes and invest according to those movements in the past on the stocks. You will look at current market price for the stock, moving averages, and also any breakouts that have happened in the past.
People who use this method are not forecasting what will happen but they are following a trend and using it. This method will use three main components. Current price of stock, equity level and current market volatility. How much you buy or sell will be determined prior to buying of the stock and be based on volatility.
Trend following indicators will not be used on a new stock that has come to the market, but one that has been established. When using this method the price will always be the consideration that is put first. Plus when using this method they may use the indicators to guess which way the stock will head next.
It will need to be decided how much will be traded during the trend and how long it lasts. When the market is at a higher volatility level size of trading will be reduced in order to cut losses. With trend following indicators, time and price will always be of highest importance.
The following questions will be able to be answered when you use this type of method. Shares that will be traded during the trend, how to enter the market and at what time. Risk to be taken on each trade, cutting of unprofitable stocks, and how to get rid of profitable stocks.
Find more on market trend trading and trend following systems.
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When Must One Take Advantage Of Automated Forex Trading System
February 23, 2010 by Jasper Lemanz
Filed under Stock Trading
The currency trading industry is a fast paced industry that requires more than investment. One must be knowledgeable in attaining better decision to gain from the investment. It is not excuse that one is a beginner to fail in this industry. He must constantly be on his guard to avoid missing out on an opportunity. Thus an automated forex trading system is beneficial in achieving this goal.
Buying and selling global currency is a risky venture. The involvement of global financial establishments has made it more competitive especially in the onset of the economic crisis. Although it is highly profitable one should closely track his progress to gain from the venture.
The trading requires more than 24 hours of monitoring. If one is not committed in monitoring the market every second he is given the option of hiring a financial expert or using a specialized program to monitor the market movement. In this way you do not have to worry much of losing an opportunity.
The popularity of automated forex trading system has resulted from the desire of many traders to monitor their investment without catching some snores. Since it is a software you can entrust it to create real time reports to forecast possible buying or selling of currency.
Invest $50 dollars and see how it goes. Trading does not have to be frustrating with the use of this system. It allows you to see possibilities with less the effort in your end. It is advantageous especially when you are just learning the industry.
However be reminded that the system is just a tool. Decisions are all up to you. Educating yourself with the basics can arm you in gaining better decisions in the future. The software can only forecast any transaction in the market it cannot tell you when to buy or sell.
Just a reminder though never completely invest your personal finances. It does not harm to leave a little for yourself. In this manner you do not have to end up losing more than usual.
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An Introduction To The IPO Process
February 20, 2010 by Adriana Noton
Filed under Stock Market
An IPO is an initial public offering of a companys stock. This is done either to raise capital for a new company or for an existing company to simply offer shares of stock for the first, known as going public. In either case, there is a certain set of steps in the IPO Process that must be followed.
The first thing a company must do before issuing stock is file a registration with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC.) Since the SEC has the power of nullifying any attempt to go public, a companys statement must be thoroughly accurate. Data concerning the financial health of the company must be entirely truthful. Due diligence should be the order of the day. Putting a company out onto the IPO Market is serious business. Every step in the IPO Process must be done carefully.
Sometime after, or possibly before, the registration process is done, a company will seek one or multiple investment bankers. The investment bankers will do two things for the company. First of all, they will get the companys prospectus into the hands of potential future share holders. A prospectus is a legal document that describes in detail the situation of the company. Inclusions in a prospectus are outlines of the companys market, financial statements, projections on future stock pricing and biographical information about its executives. The prospectus is sometimes called a red herring. This nickname is given because of the red ink on its cover. The red ink is a notice stamped by the SEC stating that shares cannot be bought prior to registration approval.
The second thing that an investment banker, or underwriter, does is buy the companys stock and then resell it to the public. In a so-called road show, executives from the company and the underwriters promote the stock to possible investors. This is done by meeting and going over company strategy.
In selling the shares to the underwriter, rather than directly in the marketplace (i. E. The New York Stock Exchange, ) a company does not assume market risk, it does not bear excessive promotion expense, and most importantly, it acquires its money up front. Of course, by mitigating risk and selling their stock at a fixed price to an underwriter, companies sacrifice the possibility of a higher per share price that might otherwise be generated at an exchange.
Selling to the underwriter cannot take place until registration has been approved by the SEC. Upon approval, and generally a day or so before the public offering is made, the investment banker and company executives will conclude how many shares to offer and the price per share. After all of this has taken place and the money and shares of stock are exchanged, the offering is complete.
Before deciding to buy a companys securities, underwriters do careful and complete research on that company. Prior to taking the risk, they want to be confident that the stock will sell for more than the price they paid. They face the possibility of huge profits but also the possibility of huge losses.
It goes without saying that while the risk is high for investment bankers, the IPO process offers huge potential for profit. It can be very exciting to have an opportunity to pay a low price for stock that will someday be worth a fortune.
We are a tax and advisory firm, as part of an international network under one name. We act with integrity and always strive to achieve professionalism. If you want to know how to IPO or the IPO How, we have the people with the expertise.
Who Wants To Invest Now?
February 19, 2010 by Jordan Weir
Filed under Stock Market
Every day, the stock market seems to continue its precipitous drop towards worthlessness, crushing hopes, dreams, and investors in a flurry of dizzying price movements. Yet there is an answer; a light in the darkness, used by the masters of investment to generate excess returns even ” no, scratch that, – especially in falling markets like this one.
Shorting stock. The phrase sends a blood-curdling chill down many a buy-and-hold investors spine, frightening them into a shock-induced state of confusion. Yet for masters of this easier-then-it-sounds technique, its an extremely profitable oasis within the uncompromising desert that is this bear. Confused? Its like this… the vast majority of investors only buy stocks. When you buy a stock, there are two ways to make money. Stock price appreciation (buy low, sell high), and dividends. Which is all well and good when the market is going up, but for markets such as the one were currently embroiled in, we need a whole different animal.
Shorting a stock is actually a fairly simple process. When you buy a stock, you hope to buy low, and sell high. When your shorting a stock, your goal is to sell high, and then buy low. When you short a stock, you borrow it from your broker, and then sell it. You keep the money from this sale. Then, after the stock has dropped, you buy it back for less, pocketing the difference between what you bought and sold it for. After buying it back, you give it back to your broker, and your exactly where you started, just with more money.
An example… In late August 2008, Ford was trading for around 4.50. If you decided to short 100 shares of ford at that point, then you would borrow 100 shares of Ford from your broker and sell them for a total of $450. In late October 2008, Ford was down to the 2.25 range. At that point, you could buy back the 100 shares you sold for $225, return the 100 shares to your broker, and all in all, you made $225. In essence, you sold high, then bought low. Its just like buying low, and selling high ” it just operates in reverse. This would be a good time to re-read this paragraph, its that important.
A more abstract, but ultimately easier way to think of shorting is a way of owning a negative number of shares. If when you own 10 shares, and a stock goes down by $100 , you lose $1000. If you own negative 10 shares, and a stock goes down by $100, you gain $1000. Simple as that. Naturally, an increase in price works the same way ” a price increase means owning a negative number of shares leads to a loss, but in a bear market, thats a rare thing.
Regardless of how you play the markets, an eye must be kept on the most important element of all ” risk. While shorting helps to remove some of the systematic risk from your portfolio ” a portfolio composed of both buying stocks, and short stocks, is less venerable to a market crash ” it does carry its own unique risks. Especially in a bear market, it pays to watch the news on your shorts. Any good news that comes out may raise the stock price of those that your shorting, and if a stock isnt going down anymore, its not a good stock to be short. The bigger risk to your short positions is the end of a bear market. When the new bull market ends, many short positions will quickly swing towards unprofitability, and so you must be quick to close them.
A typical risk-management choice many professionals use is the 5% rule. When your trading stocks, dont risk more then 5% of your portfolio on any one position, and preferably less. So with the $20000 portfolio, risk no more then $1000 on a trade. This doesnt mean you cant invest more then $1000 per trade. It just means that your stop loss should be triggered before $1000 is lost. So if you short a stock at $20, and have a stop loss at $25, then you can buy up to 200 shares (far more then the actual value of your portfolio). If your time span is shorter, then you should use a smaller percentage, while if your timespan is longer then a couple months, the 5% rule could be adjusted as high as 10% (for the risk-tolerant).
When it comes to stock picking, some people would call this a challenging market. And traditionally, we have been taught that buying low and selling high is the idea scenario, so looked at from that sense, perhaps it is a challenging market. Or is it? With everything covered already in this short document, you have already learned that a so called “challenging market” can be a bonanza for those who have learned how to short a stock or etf.
Confused about ETF’s shorting stocks, crashing markets or any of the other terms? Or just interested in cashing in on this once in a lifetime opportunity? Click here and Learn How to short stocks for fantastic gains
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