Short Selling Without Knowing Short Interest Ratios Can Be Dangerous!
March 13, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under Stock Trading
Everyone knows that when the stock prices goes up this is the best time to invest and make money. But can you make money when the stock prices go down. Well, you can with short selling. Many people have difficulty understanding short selling. So what is short selling. In essence, when you expect the price of a certain stock to go down, you borrow it from your brokers and sell it in the market. Later on you buy it back and return the stock to your broker. Since the stock price was lower when you bought it back as compared to when you sold it, you made a capital gain. This is in nutshell what is short selling.
Short selling works if the price continues to fall. If the price does not fall or retraces after sometime, you can make a hefty loss on your short position. The loans that are taken in order to go short have to be repaid! If the lender asks them or the price goes up, the trader has to buy back shares in order to make the repayment. Now, the harder it becomes to get the right number of shares in the market, the more desperate the trader will become and the higher the prices can go.
Short selling in stocks is done by investors with the expectation of a making a capital gain when they expect that stock price to go down in the near future. Short selling is also done by the fund managers to hedge their stock portfolios. Now, in other markets like the currencies, futures or the options market, you don’t have to borrow the security in order to go short. You can straight away go short by selling that security or currency in the market.
There is something very important that you need to keep an eye on when you go short selling. It is known as Short Interest Ratios. This will help you monitor the rate of short selling in the market. If the rate is too high, it means that too many investors are taking short positions and you need to avoid it. New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and NASDAQ, both report the short interest in stocks listed on them,however, this is done on a monthly basis as brokers need sometime to collect the data of shares that they have lended to their clients for shorting.
Now this number is known as the Short Interest Ratio. Short Interest Ratio is a very important number for short sellers as it can give important clues about the investor expectation to the short sellers.
So what is the Short Interest Ratio? Short Interest Ratio is the number of shares of a particular stock that has been shorted in the market. It also reports the percentage change in the short positions from the previous month. Plus the average daily volume for that stock in the same month and also the number of days of trading at the average volume that it would require the market to cover the short positions in that stock.
The problem with Short Interest Ratio is that it is not calculated frequently. It is calculated on monthly basis. So, the trader cannot use it to gauge the short positions in the market on a daily or weekly basis. However, it can give you the general trend in the market. A high short interest ratio should make you nervous if you have taken a short position in that stock as most of the investors who are short will soon become desperate to dump that stock in the market and cover their short positions.
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done masters from Harvard University. Read this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading FREE Report. Turn $200 into $100K in just 3 months with this Penny Stock Trading FREE Report.
AIG Stock Price- Rising From The Dead!
March 12, 2010 by Mike Oldster
Filed under Stock Market
Stock prices are an interesting area of analysis. They require a lot of calculative and analytical predictions and they should be aimed at getting maximum aims. Now, the topic which we are talking about is the AIG stock price, which is an interesting piece of analysis because AIG is a long standing company which had stable prices for their stocks but suffered due to their fallacies during the subprime crisis
AIG is a company providing service through many of its subsidiaries. It provides insurance cum financial services in the US and worldwide. It has 4 types of operations: General Insurance, Life Insurance and Retirement Services, Financial Services, and Asset Management.
The above mentioned four categories constitute the entire portfolio management. So whatever investment a person wants to make he can approach AIG for his needs.
It is quoted in the New York stock Exchange (NYSE). The index is 26.76 as on 24/2/10. It has been in the news for its role in the financial crisis. AIG was one of the first hit of the financial crisis and it suffered a loss of liquidity which led to a plummeting of its AIG stock price during FY08.
On Sep 16 2008 the Federal Reserve Bank which is the central bank of the US offered them a stimulus package in return for a 79.9% stake. This is a step in the series of stimulus packages given by the Federal bank in order to improve their economy during the tough times of recession. This was a great relief fund to AIG to rejuvenate itself from the down fall of the recession period.
While analyzing the price for AIG stocks, we need to consider all the above factors. AIG is a company known for its consistency and for the amount of time it has been in existence. The company suffered a huge fall only during the subprime crunch which served as a catalyst during the global recession.
But, one cannot consider this to be downfall of the concern. The company was a victim like other financial institutions and we should not doubt the company’s integrity for it. Also the company is recovering thanks to the stimulus packages offered by Federal Reserve Bank of United States. One can look forward to see the stock prices soaring higher in the near future.
Thus the need for a neutral analysis on the AIG stock price and then consider any potential investments.
Learn more about the current stock prices. Stop by Mike Oldster’s site where you can find out all about stock market prices and what it can do for you.
Options Trading Strategy, How To Get It Right
March 11, 2010 by Trevor Weir
Filed under Stock Market
Making money on the trading of options, shares, bonds and other finance products has been compared as playing a game. It is not for nothing that it is called an adult’s Play Station. Trading on the market is fun and addictive. The only problem is that you can lose money, which kind of kills the fun. That is where an options trading strategy that worked would come in handy. As you might have guessed this is what this article is all about.
Playing with the stock market can be very risky. Too many people have jumped into this dangerous business finding too late that they did not know what they were getting involved in. Overnight a stock that seemed solid can melt warm butter in your hands. A strong economy can lose its bottom due to a terrorist attack. Amateur traders are cannon fodder for changing trends and a volatile market.
The best traders can be caught by surprise by a change in the market nobody expected. The strongest economy can fall like a ton of bricks due to a natural or manmade disaster. Who pays the price of these fluctuations in the market? You guessed amateur traders that did not do their homework. The good traders just smile and continue making money whether the market is doing good or bad.
This does not have to be the case. Trading with stocks and options can be worked as a business, without having to gamble or hope for the best. When you understand how the market works, the function of options and how to use them wisely to manage risk everything starts to make sense.
All of this could have been avoided if you had purchased a selling option, also called a put call, for the same stock. You would not have become an overnight millionaire but at least you would have covered your losses when the stocks of your company dropped.
Only a few traders, the best of the best, make money consistently no matter what mood the market is in. Learning from them is the way to go if you want to succeed and good options trading strategy is your ticket. The problem is where to find a reliable source for such valuable information. The second issue is will you be willing to invest your hard earned money in a great opportunity if you see one.
A great option is to talk to a successful trader and ask him all his secrets, strategies and techniques. Unfortunately most successful traders are too busy making money or spending it to put aside the time. That is why you should look into this full options trading strategy course.
That is why these videos on offer, are a great deal. Listen as many times as you need to the quality information a professional trader has prepared for you. Over twenty years condensed in a simple but very informative course. Why has he spent hours and house spelling out the options trading strategy that really makes money? To make money of course and because he wants to see you succeed just as he has. You see, in Options Trading others making money is not a problem, everyone can make a profit.
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Doji Candlestick Pattern-Rare But Easy To Spot And Highly Profitable!
March 10, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under Stock Market
Candlestick Charting is one of the most powerful tools in the trading arsenal of any trader. Candlestick Charts apply to any market no matter what you trade-stocks, forex, futures, options, ETFs, commodities, bonds and others. With one simple glance on the chart, you can figure out the sentiment of the buyers and sellers in the market. There are many candlestick patterns that are used as trading signals. Some are simple while others are complex. Doji Candlestick Pattern is a simple pattern that is very easy to spot. It has no body. It is formed when the opening and the closing prices are the same. So, this pattern is all wicks with no stick. It literally looks like a Cross on the chart. So you can easily spot it. But it is very rare as the security opening and closing prices are seldom equal! Doji has some variations. We will discuss these variations in this article!
In other words, the opening and the closing prices should be the same for a Doji to be formed. So for a Doji to be truly formed on a trading day, throughtout the trading day heavy buying or selling may take place but at the end of the day, the price should be where it had been at the start. In other words, the opening and the closing prices should be the same for a Doji to be formed.
When a Doji is formed with the opening and the closing prices equal, it is a signal that the battle between the bulls and the bears had been a draw during the trading day. Soon, either the bulls or the bears are going to previal. In other words, a trend reversal is about to take place.
A Dragonfly Doji pattern is unique in the sense that the opening, closing and the high prices are all the same or equal. A Dragonfly Doji is formed when the stocks opens, trades down during first part of the day. During some part of the day, the price starts to climb again and eventually closing on the high which is the same as the open.
In other words, the open, the close and the high for the day are the same for the Dragonfly Doji to form. So when a Dragonfly Doji Pattern is formed, the bears had been in control of the market at the start. But at some point in the trading day, the bulls become active and step in. Bulls start buying. This takes the prices up and at the end of the day, the security price ends up right where it had started.
Dragonfly Doji is considered to be a bullish candlestick pattern. The low on this pattern can be taken as the support level because this was the level at which the bears entered the market and started buying.
A bearish Gravestone Doji Pattern is formed when the open and close of the day is equal to the low of the day. This is the most bearish of the Doji patterns. A bearish Gravestone Doji pattern signals the start of a prolonged downtrend in the security price.
A Doji pattern is very easy to spot on the candlestick chart as there is no body just the wick. Open close and either low or high all three are equal and the candle looks more like a cross. When you spot the Doji, get ready for a trend change in the price action.
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Master these Candlestick Patterns with this 82 page PDF FREE Candlestick Guide! Get this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading Report plus the shocking Profit Button Report that applies no matter what you trade-stocks, forex, futures or options FREE!
A Shockingly Simple Momentum Indicator For Stock Trading
March 9, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under News
Following a trend is great. But if the trend is moving quickly, you want to know that so that you can get ahead of it. If the rate of change of the trend is going up, rising prices are going to follow quickly.
Now first what is a momentum? You must have read about the momentum in high school physics.Momentum was the velocity multiplied by the mass of the object. Velocity was the rate of change. So when we talk of momentum in trading, we are talking of the rate of change of any security prices. Now. a simple way to calculate the momentum of any security price is to divide the closing price today by the closing price ten days back and then multiply it by 100!
This gives you the momentum indicator. If the prices didn’t go anywhere momentum indicator will be 100. If the prices went up, the momentum indicator will be greater than 100 and the prices went down, the momentum indicator will be less than 100. Now, a trend is expected to continue if the momentum indicator is greater than 100.
This momentum indicator tells you what is most likely to happen in the future not what happened in the past. So it is a leading indicator. You must have heard about momentum investing or you can even call it momentum trading. In momentum investing , you buy a security at a high price and sell it even at a more higher price unlike ordinary investing where you buy low and sell high. The trick is to know that the price will continue to rise when you do momentum investing. How do you know that the security prices will continue to rise in the future? By looking at the business fundamentals like the sales or profits, if you find them to be rising and accelerating at the same time the security price is rising,there is momentum behind this move!
Now, investors can also use momentum in their investing decisions. Momentum investors are looking for securities that are rising in prices especially if accompanies by acceleration in the underlying growth. The knock on momentum investing is that instead of buying low and selling high, your goal is to buy high and sell even higher.
So when you are doing momentum investing, you are looking for a security or a stock that has a potential to move big. How long this big move might take to materialize? Well, the expectation is for the big move to happen in a few weeks to a few months. Just like in ordinary physics, when a ball is set in motion, it will continue moving unless stopped. This is what the Newton’s First Law says. You can expect a security price to keep on rising as long as something drastic doesn’t happen to stop that rise. So what can be that something drastic? It can be a sudden breaking news about the misdoings of the management that have not been known to the public before. I am just giving you one example. There can be more. So before you do your momentum investing, it is always better to do some fundamental research on the company. Remember the Dot Com Bubble that burst and hurt many people a decade back. Lot of people were doing momentum investing without doing fundamental research on the stocks that they were investing in. So you need to do some fundamental research as well to ascertain that the rise in prices of a stock are sustainable over the long haul or not.
There are many way to do momentum investing. One is the price momentum that we have talked above. The other can be Earning Momentum. If you are a long haul investor who keeps an eye on the financial statements of different companies and you find that the quaterly earnings are going up steadily from one quater to another. What this means is that the stock price will also accelerate and follow suit.
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Get this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading Report plus the shocking Profit Button Report that applies no matter what you trade- stocks, forex, futures or options FREE. Read the story of Richard Samuels, a post office mailman with a head injury and how he made a fortune with these Neutrino Forex Signals.
Know These Short Selling Shocking Facts
March 8, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under News
Short selling is one of the favorite day trading strategies employed by many day traders. Many companies hate short sellers as they believe that short sellers were responsible in the fall of their stock prices. Nothing can be far from the truth. Short selling is just like anyother market mechanism that provides liquidity and better price discovery. Short selling can never destroy a company if its’ fundamentals are strong. Many stock brokers now let you short stocks with just the click of a mouse. When you sell stocks from your online brokerage account, the message asks you whether you are selling your own shares or short selling. You just need to click once on short selling and the rest is taken care of by the broker. These shares are a loan to you by the broker that you will have to return at a later date!
Now, you cannot always short a stock instantly. Most of the investors work on rumors. In some cases,a stock gets so much shorted that there are no more shares of that stock left for you or your broker to borrow anymore. In that case, you simple will have to cross your fingers and see how the other short sellers do on that stock while you search for another stock to short!
Now, shorting is one of the favorite strategies employed by day traders. A day trader may short stock on the mundane reason like its price had been going up for three days and it’s time to come down! Day traders are not fundamental traders. Day traders are simply interested in the daily volatility in the stock. Most even don’t do any financial or fundamental analysis of the companies whose stocks they are trading. Almost all are technicians or what you call technical analysis experts.
Now, you cannot straight away short a stock as there are mechanisms in place employed by msot of the stock exchanges that don’t want a massive shorting attack on a stock. There is the famous Uptick Rule that has been put in place to prevent that from happening. What the Uptick Rule means is that you cannot short a stock unless it moves up on the last trade. This rule has been placed to prevent a stock from being driven down to almost zero by short sellers. In simple words, once the stock starts to move down, you cannot short it. You will have to wait for its price to move up on the last trade, before your short selling order can be executed by the broker.
Now you have to be careful when shorting a stock as certain risks are involved. In theory, there is no limit on how high a stock price can go high. So when betting on something going wrong, if you yourself go wrong, the potential loss in case of a stock price going up can be immense.
There is something known as Short Squeeze. A short squeeze happens when the stock of the company that you have shorted has some good news that drives the stock prices high. Now if this happens, many short sellers might lose money and even get margin calls. When they get desperate to buy back the stock, its prices go even higher hurting them more.
As said before, companies, investors and many brokers hate short sellers. They think that short sellers had intentionally driven down the stock prices. So sometimes, they will spread rumors of good news to create a momentary short squeeze. Sometimes, a campaign will be started by the owners of a particular stock instructing their brokers not to loan out their stocks to short sellers. So if you have already shorted that stock, you might get a call from your broker to return that stock immediately. In such a case, you will have to immediately return the stock even if it doesn’t make any sense to you!
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Turn $200 into $100K in just 3 months with this Penny Stock Trading FREE Report!Read this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading FREE Report plus the shocking Profit Button Report that applies no matter what you trade-stocks,forex, futures or options!
Bullish Necklines, the Bearish Meeting Lines and the bearish Piercing Line Candlestick Patterns
March 6, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under News
Trend trading is one of the most profitable trading strategies. You must have heard the oft repeated quote that Trend is your friend. But trend can only be your friend if you know how it is going to behave in the future. If you don’t know that the trend is going to reverse soon, you are going to end up with a heavy loss. Candlestick charting is one of the ways to predict the future of a trend whether it is going to reverse itself in the near future or continue for sometime. Bullish Necklines is a candlestick pattern that can help you know whether the trend is continuing or not. It is a trend confirmation pattern. There are types of Necklines Patterns; one is the In Neck and the other is the Out Neck Pattern.
The candle formed on the setup day should be a long bullish candle that shows a lot of buying. On the signal day a bearish candle either long or short is formed with its closing price very near the close of the setup day.
Now,there can be two types of Neckline Patterns depending on the closing prices on the signal and the setup days. If the closing price on the signal day is almost near the closing price on the setup day, it is an On Neck Pattern. In case, if the closing price on the first day is little lower than the closing price on the signal day, it is a In Neck Pattern.
You might be thinking that this is not much of a difference. Well, this is true but nevertheless, you should be aware of this slight difference between the In Neck and the On Neck Patterns. Both these patterns are telling the same thing that the uptrend is going to continue in the near future. So even if you are not able to differentiate between the In Neck and the On Neck, don’t worry much. You must at least be able to identify that a Neckline Pattern has been formed.
Now, let’s talk about a trend reversal candlestick pattern; The Bearish Meeting Line. On the first day or what you call the setup day, you will find a long bullish candle.What this means is that heavy buying took place throughout the day. On the second day or what you call the signal day, you will find a gap opening. This gap entices the sellers to start selling that continues throughout the day. This will result in a long bearish candle on the second or what you call the signal day. This long bearish candle should have a close very near the open of the low of the day as well as the close should be very near to the close on the first or what you call the setup day. This is a Bearish Meeting Line Trend Reversal Pattern. What is means is that the trend is about to reverse itself soon!
In case of the bearish piercing line candlestick pattern, the setup day is bullish with long bullish candle. The signal day is bearish with an opening higher than the setup days high. What this means is that on the signal day sellers came rushing in, pushing prices down through the setup days opening price and below its midpoint.
This pattern usually occurs in the last stages of an uptrend and when it happens, it means that the trend is about to reverse itself. When this Bearish Piercing Line Candlestick Pattern is formed, it means that the price action has lost it’s momentum.
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Master Candlestick Charting with this 82 page PDF FREE Candlestick Guide! Read the Story of Richard Samuels, a post office mailman with a head injury and how he made a fortune with these Neutrino Forex Signals!
How to Easily Buy Stocks Online in 2010
March 4, 2010 by Simon Brody
Filed under News
Right now in 2010, most people who open a stock account for the first time will do it online. This is a departure from how to open a stock account in years past where you had to physically go in to a broker’s office and sign up. When you were sitting in front of the broker, he would ask you all sorts of questions like what your investment goals were and what investing time horizon you had.
That made it a bother and an inconvenience to open an account and certainly kept a number of potential investors from ever making the attempt. Today, however, anyone can open an account online right from their home and transfer funds into that account easily and quickly. Papers to sign will be mailed right to the investor’s house. This raises the possibility that some people will invest in stocks when they shouldn’t, just because it is so easy to do so.
Learning how to buy stocks is something that can be intimidating at first but very easy once you learn the basics. How to buy your first stocks might initially seem scary because of all the terminology and if you are not familiar with any of it, you might never get past the first step. Now that you can open up an account online and buy stocks online though, there really is no embarrassment factor because you never have to deal with a real person.
You can learn how to do everything by just reading things online and that should be enough to get you started. However, if you really want to know what you are doing, you should probably go into a stockbroker’s office and ask for a quick tutorial on the stock market and how to buy and sell stocks.
With the effortlessness of buying stocks online by just clicking on a few buttons, it’s as easy as entering a lottery. But even though it is so easy it almost seems like betting on a number, investing is a serious business and is important for your future and for the continued prosperity of our country. Because of the ease today of making stock trades online, and the resulting increase in day trading, numerous unfortunate speculators have been brought to financial ruin, leading to the speculation that stock trading has simply become too easy for the unwary individual.
Would you like to learn more about buying stocks for beginners? If you would you can take a look at my site Stocks For Dummies.
Stock Market Investing Will Be Made More Uncomplicated, By Following These Guidelines
March 3, 2010 by Tom Kearney
Filed under Stock Market
Despite the current poor state of world stock markets it is still a good idea to learn how to succeed in stock market investing. The good news is that it is really quite simple to find tips that will help teach you how you can invest your money wisely and earn considerably from buying the right stocks.
The secret to proper stock market investing lies in planning your activities well before you actually invest your money in buying this or that stock. As a matter of fact, it is also important to understand the benefits of spreading investments across different stocks and making regular investments too is good for you as too are investing for long term gains rather than for short term gains.
The sooner you start making investments the better it will be for you as then you can reap benefits that will come your way through compounding. In fact, you should consider time to be the magical key that will unlock the secrets to turning cents into dollars. However, be sure that you also learn to avoid investing in derivatives and also in futures.
The third important tip is that do not try leveraging as you will find it hard to predict future trends in the short term and so it is better to buy into a market rather than invest your money on certain stocks.
Now, when it comes to picking individual stocks you need to choose stocks that are a mirror of the much broader indexes and at the same time you need to ensure that you do not purchase single or even handful of stock exposures. It is always safer to spread your risk across different market segments so that even if a particular stock fails, you will have other stocks that can help cover the losses.
Before purchasing stocks, you need to look at how well a company is earning and base your buying decision on this factor, instead of on the current stock prices. These stock prices often give wrong impressions and will not reflect the true nature of a company’s welfare.
Also, if you find some stocks have turned out to be duds, then you must get rid of them as soon as possible and only hand on to those stocks that are continually growing. If you have erred in buying a stock, you must be ready to admit that you made a mistake and you should then get rid of that stock.
When it comes to purchasing stocks, be careful that you ensure that you are buying value and not momentum. In addition, your decision to purchase a stock should be based upon what your head says and not what your heart is pleading.
This also implies that before you purchase a stock it is important to follow what your brain instructs you to do and you should not allow your emotions to lead you into making bad investments. Also, if you purchase stocks in large well known companies you will generally come out ahead, which is not what would happen if you invested in small or penny stocks.
The larger stocks will provide long term benefits while penny stocks will not because judging how they will move requires a higher degree of expertise which most of us do not possess.
Learn more about stock market investing and how you can make money. With ETF trading steps you may be able to turn a nice profit. Head online and learn more now.
Harami And The Harami Cross Candlestick Patterns Can Make You Rich!
March 1, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam
Filed under Stock Market
Harami is a two stick candlestick pattern or what you may call a two day candlestick pattern observed on the daily charts. The first day candle is longer than the second day candle. Harami candlestick pattern can be bullish as well as bearish.
This is an important signal that bulls are now active and trying to take hold of the market. This means that the downtrend will be soon over and an uptrend is about to start.A bullish Harami is formed in a downtrend when the first day candle is very bearish. But on the second day, the bulls come into play and beat the bears out of the market by taking the prices higher. However, the bulls are not completely successful and the second day is still lower than the first day open and the first day high is not crossed.
The open is higher than the close of the last day on the signal day. However, the bulls close the day higher than the open.On the second day when the Harami is formed, the bears are still slightly ahead of the bulls at the start of trading.
Bulls and bears are always fighting with each other for the control of the market. When a bullish Harami is formed what this means is that the bulls are still cautious about their success and fear that the bears might return to take the prices lower again. However, when this does not happen, it gives confidence to the bulls encouraging more buying in the market and the reversal of the trend.
What this means is that you need to confirm it with the price action on the following day. Now, like most of the candlestick patterns, a Harami can fail. Always place the stop loss first when you trade. When you spot a Harami, place the stop loss near the open of the second day.
Harami pattern has got few variations. On of them is the Bullish Harami Cross Pattern. Now,a Bullish Harami Cross is not formed very frequently. But when it does form, it means an sudden trend reversal. So you should act immediatetly when you spot it. The first day in case of a Bullish Harami Cross is a bearish candle. The signal day or the second day is a Bullish Doji with an open higher than the close of the first day and the close lower than the open of the first day.
When a bearish Harami is formed what this indicates is that bears have taken hold of the market now and are about to push the prices down signalling a downtrend is about to start! The bearish Harami is similar to a bullish Harami. It is formed in an uptrend. The first day is a usual bullish candle that forms in an uptrend. The second day candle is a bearish candle. It’s open is lower than the close of the first day. And it’s close is higher than the open of the first day.
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